11+ Wins Predicted for the Denver Broncos

As the 2024 NFL season hits its midpoint, the Denver Broncos have emerged as one of the league’s most surprising success stories—and analysts are taking notice, with most projecting the team to finish with 11 or more wins, a milestone they haven’t reached since their 2015 Super Bowl-winning campaign. 11+ Wins Predicted for the Denver Broncos isn’t just a hopeful forecast; it’s a data-driven conclusion, built on the team’s 8-2 start, a favorable remaining schedule, and a balanced roster that has proven it can win in multiple ways. For Broncos fans, this prediction isn’t just exciting—it’s a validation of the franchise’s rebuild, which prioritized smart signings, defensive dominance, and coaching stability. With six games left in the regular season, the Broncos are well-positioned to turn this prediction into reality, solidifying their status as AFC contenders and ending a nearly decade-long playoff drought.

11+ Wins Predicted for the Denver Broncos begins with their dominant start, which provides a strong foundation for reaching 11 wins. Through 10 weeks, the Broncos have already secured eight victories—including critical divisional wins over the Kansas City Chiefs (twice) and Los Angeles Chargers—and have only lost to two playoff-caliber teams (the Buffalo Bills and Baltimore Ravens) by a combined 10 points. This start isn’t a fluke: the Broncos rank 3rd in the NFL in points allowed (17.8 per game) and 10th in points scored (26.1 per game), making them one of just six teams with top-10 rankings on both offense and defense. Their ability to win close games—they’re 7-1 in one-score matchups—also bodes well for reaching 11 wins, as NFL seasons often hinge on turning narrow losses into wins. Even if the Broncos cool off slightly in the second half, their eight early wins mean they only need three more victories in their final six games to hit 11—a manageable goal for a team that has already proven it can handle pressure.

11+ Wins Predicted for the Denver Broncos next examines the team’s remaining schedule, a key factor in the optimistic forecast. The Broncos’ final six opponents include four teams with losing records (the Las Vegas Raiders, Arizona Cardinals, New England Patriots, and Chicago Bears) and two divisional matchups against the Chiefs and Chargers—teams they’ve already beaten once this season. This schedule is a far cry from the tough stretch they faced in September and October, which included games against the Bills, Ravens, and Chiefs. The most challenging remaining game is a Week 14 rematch with the Chiefs in Kansas City, but the Broncos already proved they can beat Patrick Mahomes and company with a 24-21 win in Denver earlier this season. Even if they split their two remaining divisional games, the Broncos are likely to win four of their six final contests—pushing their total to 12 wins. This favorable schedule isn’t just luck; it’s a product of the NFL’s scheduling formula, which rewards teams in weaker divisions (relative to the AFC East or West’s top teams) with more winnable late-season games.

11+ Wins Predicted for the Denver Broncos highlights the team’s roster depth, which will help them navigate potential injuries or slumps down the stretch. Earlier concerns about Alex Singleton and DJ Jones’ DNPs have been mitigated by the Broncos’ ability to develop backups: Drew Sanders (Singleton’s replacement at linebacker) has shown he can handle the green dot role in practice, while rookie defensive tackle Elijah Garcia has proven capable of stepping in for Jones. Offensively, the Broncos have depth at running back (Javonte Williams, Samaje Perine) and wide receiver (Courtland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy), meaning they can adjust if a key skill position player gets hurt. The Denver Broncos’ front office deserves credit for this depth, as they prioritized signing versatile veterans (like quarterback Kirk Cousins) and drafting for need in 2023 and 2024. This depth was on display in Week 10, when Perine stepped in for an injured Williams and rushed for 89 yards, helping the Broncos beat the Chargers. With a roster that can absorb injuries without collapsing, the Broncos are far more likely to maintain their winning pace than teams relying on a handful of star players.

11+ Wins Predicted for the Denver Broncos explores the team’s clutch performance history, a trait that separates playoff teams from also-rans. The Broncos have won seven of their eight one-score games this season, often relying on late-game heroics: in Week 6, Pat Surtain II intercepted Mahomes in the final minute to beat the Chiefs; in Week 8, Wil Lutz hit a 52-yard field goal to beat the Patriots; in Week 10, DJ Jones forced a fumble to seal a win over the Chargers. This ability to win close games isn’t accidental—it’s a product of Sean Payton’s coaching, which emphasizes situational football and mental toughness. The Denver Broncos practice late-game scenarios every week, from two-minute drills to red zone stands, ensuring players are prepared when the game is on the line. This clutch gene is especially important for reaching 11 wins, as the remaining schedule includes several potential one-score matchups (like the Week 14 Chiefs game and Week 16 Raiders game). Teams that win close games consistently almost always hit double-digit wins—and the Broncos have already proven they’re one of those teams.

11+ Wins Predicted for the Denver Broncos examines how the team’s current trajectory aligns with historical trends of 11-win teams. Since 2010, 87% of teams with an 8-2 start have finished with 11 or more wins—a statistic that underscores just how rare it is for a team this successful early to collapse. The Broncos also check other boxes for 11-win teams: they have a top-10 defense (critical for winning in the playoffs), a stable quarterback situation (Kirk Cousins has just 5 interceptions), and a positive turnover differential (+12, 4th in the NFL). Additionally, the Broncos have avoided major injuries to key players—Singleton and Jones’ DNPs were precautionary, not season-threatening—which is a common pitfall for teams that start strong but fade. The Denver Broncos’ front office has also set the team up for success by avoiding a “win-now” mindset that sacrifices future depth; instead, they’ve built a roster that can compete this year and next, meaning there’s no pressure to rush injured players back. All these factors combined make 11+ wins not just a prediction, but a likely outcome.

11+ Wins Predicted for the Denver Broncos concludes with what this milestone would mean for the franchise and its fans. An 11-win season would secure the Broncos a playoff spot—their first since 2015—and likely a top-3 seed in the AFC, giving them home-field advantage in the first round. It would also validate Sean Payton’s leadership, Kirk Cousins’ free-agent signing, and the defense’s return to dominance. For fans, 11 wins would be a return to the glory days, when the Broncos were perennial contenders and Super Bowl threats. More importantly, it would signal that the franchise’s rebuild is complete—and that the Broncos are here to stay as an AFC power. 11+ Wins Predicted for the Denver Broncos is, at its core, a story of redemption. After years of disappointment, the Broncos have built a team that can win consistently, handle adversity, and compete with the best the NFL has to offer. As the season progresses, all signs point to this prediction becoming a reality—and to the Broncos celebrating their most successful season in nearly a decade.